Geographic Arbitrage Finder
Cross-market price gap analysis — source vehicles where they're cheap and auction where they're expensive
Purpose
Wholesale vehicle prices vary materially by state — the same 2022 Ford F-150 XLT may average $3,000 more in California than in Kentucky, and $2,500 more in New York than in Texas. Auction houses and wholesale buyers who understand these geographic differentials can source from cheap markets and sell into expensive ones, capturing the spread after accounting for transport costs.
Geographic Arbitrage Finder calculates per-model price indices across target states, identifies models with spreads above 8% where transport economics work, and ranks actionable opportunities by net profit = gross spread minus transport cost estimate. It also provides a state price index overview showing which states are cheapest (source markets) and most expensive (destination markets) for any given vehicle segment.
How It Works
Execution flow. MCP tool calls are shown inline on each step.
get_sold_summaryCalls get_sold_summary per target state with ranking by make,model and ranking_measure=average_sale_price for used vehicles, prior month. Extracts avg price and sold_count per model per state.
get_sold_summaryCalls get_sold_summary without state filter for same period and model set to get national average price per model.
For each model in 2+ states: calculates gross spread = expensive_state_avg - cheap_state_avg. Transport cost = approx distance × $1.50/mile. Net arbitrage = gross spread - transport. Only flags if spread > 8% AND net > $500 AND both states have sold_count > 20.
Calculates price index per state = state_avg / average_of_all_target_states × 100. Ranks cheapest (source) and most expensive (destination) states.
MCP Tool Calls
| Tool | Calls | Purpose |
|---|---|---|
get_sold_summary | 1 per state + 1 national | Per-state and national pricing for top models |
Example Output
GEOGRAPHIC ARBITRAGE FINDER — TX/CA/FL/NY | February 2026 ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ TOP ARBITRAGE OPPORTUNITIES (ranked by net profit) Make/Model Cheap State Cheap Avg Exp State Exp Avg Spread $ Spread% Transport Net Profit ───────────────────── ─────────── ───────── ───────── ───────── ──────── ─────── ───────── ────────── Ford F-250 Super Duty TX $44,200 NY $50,100 $5,900 13.3% $2,850 $3,050 ✓ Chevrolet Silverado 2500 TX $42,800 CA $48,400 $5,600 13.1% $2,100 $3,500 ✓ Ram 1500 Rebel FL $38,100 NY $43,600 $5,500 14.4% $2,550 $2,950 ✓ Ford F-150 Raptor TX $52,400 CA $58,200 $5,800 11.1% $2,100 $3,700 ✓ Toyota Tacoma TRD Pro TX $41,300 NY $45,800 $4,500 10.9% $2,550 $1,950 ✓ Toyota 4Runner TRD FL $36,800 CA $40,100 $3,300 9.0% $2,100 $1,200 BELOW THRESHOLD (spread < 8% or net < $500) — 12 models not shown STATE PRICE INDEX (Used Vehicles, All Models) State Avg Price Index Classification ────── ───────── ───── ─────────────── NY $31,400 112 Expensive (destination market) CA $30,800 110 Expensive (destination market) FL $28,100 100 Average TX $27,200 97 Cheap (source market) SOURCING RECOMMENDATIONS → Source heavy trucks (F-250, Silverado 2500) from TX — $3,000–$3,500 net per unit after transport → Source F-150 Raptor from TX for CA auctions — $3,700 net margin → TX → NY and TX → CA are the strongest arbitrage corridors this month
Cost Estimate
20 arbitrage analyses/month ≈ $1–2
Limitations
- US only — requires get_sold_summary for cross-state pricing; not available for UK.
- Minimum sold_count of 20 per model per state required — niche models in small states may not qualify.
- Transport cost is an estimate based on state center-to-center distances at $1.50/mile — actual transport quotes vary.
- Price differences may reflect regional demand preferences rather than pure arbitrage — consider model mix when interpreting results.